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Independent Advisory · Not a Broker or Registered Investment Advisor 2678 Holdings LLC
Methodology

A structured, system-driven framework for decision-grade risk intelligence.

The TCA Methodology is industry-agnostic, evidence-anchored, and designed to produce consistent, comparable, audit-ready outputs across projects of varying scale, sector, and lifecycle stage.

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TCA Research & Intelligence Framework
PDF · 10 KB · methodology paper

The four layers of the methodology.

Each layer has an explicit purpose, a defined output, and a handoff contract to the next.

Layer 1

Research & Intelligence

Ingest, structure, normalize. Heterogeneous project inputs — technical reports, financial models, regulatory filings, market research — are translated into a canonical analytical record.

Output: project entity, assumption register, indexed source pack.

Layer 2

Risk Decomposition

Decompose the locked R&I record into element-level risk scoring across five dimensions. Apply stage-sensitive weighting based on project lifecycle.

Output: dimension scores, composite score, A→S rating.

Layer 3

Gate Analysis

Translate risk intelligence into capital-allocation options: Decline, Enhanced Diligence, Term Outline, or Formal Diligence. Independent of scoring function.

Output: decision-ready capital allocation recommendations.

Layer 4

Publication

Synthesize all layers into the Viability Opinion Report — a structured document subject to Compliance sign-off before distribution.

Output: VOR document, distribution record, retention index.

The five scoring dimensions

What we measure at the risk layer.

Every project is decomposed along the same five axes. Weights vary by stage; dimensions do not.

Dimension 01

Execution Risk

Operator capacity, team depth, delivery track record, execution plan integrity.

Dimension 02

Geological / Technical

Subsurface or physical-asset characterization, technical feasibility, engineering assumption quality.

Dimension 03

Market / Commercial

Demand, pricing exposure, offtake structure, competitive positioning, commercial contract quality.

Dimension 04

Financial / Capital

Capital structure, funding certainty, sensitivity to cost overruns, return profile integrity.

Dimension 05

Regulatory / Operating

Permitting path, compliance posture, jurisdictional exposure, operating environment.

The A→S rating scale.

Composite risk scores translate to a seven-grade scale designed for rapid interpretation by allocators.

Note

Ratings are analytical judgments. They are not buy, sell, or hold recommendations. TCA is an independent risk advisor; TCA is not a registered investment adviser at this time. See our Regulatory Posture page for current status.

The seven-stage development continuum.

Stage weighting adjusts the relative contribution of each dimension to the composite score based on where a project sits in its lifecycle.

Stage Label Dominant weighting focus
Stage 1ConceptGeological / Technical, Market thesis
Stage 2Pre-feasibilityExecution capacity, Technical de-risk
Stage 3AppraisalTechnical + Regulatory, early Financial
Stage 4Feasibility / FIDFinancial, Execution plan, Commercial
Stage 5ConstructionExecution discipline, Financial buffer
Stage 6CommissioningExecution close-out, Commercial ramp
Stage 7OperatingOperating performance, Market, Regulatory